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Business & Economics Theory

The TRACE Econometric Model of the Canadian Economy

by (author) Nanda K. Choudhry, Yehuda Kotowitz, John A. Sawyer & John W.L. Winder

Publisher
University of Toronto Press
Initial publish date
Dec 1972
Category
Theory, Economic Policy, Forecasting, Economic Conditions
  • eBook

    ISBN
    9781442654662
    Publish Date
    Dec 1972
    List Price
    $25.95

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Description

The TRACE (Toronto annual Canadian econometric) model is an annual, non-linear econometric model of the Canadian economy designed primarily to forecast the statistics which appear in the principal tables of the Canadian National Income and Expenditure Accounts. TRACE is the first Canadian econometric model from which a published ex ante forecast has been made. In this book the authors describe the model and a high-speed computer. They show how the effects of alternative combinations of federal government policies can be examined by producing sets of conditional forecasts from the model. Both impact and long-run multiplier effects of changes in fiscal and monetary policy are derived from simulation experiments performed with the model. The results show the different effects that are obtained under régimes of fixed and floating foreign exchange rates.

 

The book presents the economic theory underlying the model and provides information on estimates of the structural parameters of the Canadian economy. It will be of interest to those engaged in economic forecasting and policy analysis, as well as those studying macro-economic theory and econometric methods.

About the authors

Nanda K. Choudhry (1930-2009) was a professor emeritus in the Department of Political Economy at the University of Toronto.

Nanda K. Choudhry's profile page

Yehuda Kotowitz is a professor emeritus of the Department of Political Economy at the University of Toronto.

Yehuda Kotowitz's profile page

John A. Sawyer is a Professor Emeritus of Economics and was Associate Dean of Graduate Studies at the University of Toronto.

John A. Sawyer's profile page

John W.L. Winder is a professor emeritus of the Department of Political Economy at the University of Toronto.

John W.L. Winder's profile page