Dan Gardner
Books by Dan Gardner
How Big Things Get Done
The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between
Superforecasting
The Art and Science of Prediction
Risk
Why We Fear the Things We Shouldn't -- and Put Ourselves in Greater Danger
Future Babble
Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway